在“信息革命”浪潮下，历史学遭受的冲击要比过去任何一个时代更为彻底与更具革命性，吸收信息技术精华、展现强大计算能力的计算史学成为了不可逆的趋势。历史学究竟何去何从？文章在概念辨析、历史回顾及现状分析的基础上归纳出：中国计算史学自梁启超首倡后已历时百年，期间至少经历统计历史学、计量史学、信息史学、数字史学等若干学术实践与流派。当下计算史学的成果集中在三大方面，包括数据集成和数据库，历史文本语料库、知识库建设与挖掘分析，可视化及GIS历史地理信息系统。需警惕的是，计算史学所谓的“繁荣”带有“泡沫”成分，“计算”技术的优越性容易让人忘记其“双刃剑”的一面，人性与人文精神的淡化亦令人担心。计算史学只有在交叉、突破和自我觉醒中不断重塑自身科学性，才会展现出在“大历史”学科、“整体史”学术与“中国史”话语等方面的趋势和未来。

Under the wave of "information revolution", the impact on history is more thorough and revolutionary than any other era in the past. It is an irreversible trend for computational history to absorb the essence of information technology and show strong computing power. Where will historical research go? On the basis of concept discrimination, historical review and current situation analysis, the article concludes that: Chinese computational historiography has lasted for a hundred years since Liang Qichao initiated it. During this period, it has experienced at least several academic practices and schools such as statistical history, metrological history, information history, digital history, etc.. At present, the achievements of computational history focus on three aspects, including data integration and database, corpus and knowledge base construction and mining and analysis of historical text, visualization and GIS historical geographic information system. It should be noted that the so-called "prosperity" of computational historiography has a "foam" component. The superiority of "computing" technology is easy to forget its "double-edged sword" side, the weakening of human nature and humanistic spirit is also worrying. Only by constantly reshaping its own scientificity in the process of crossing, breaking through and self awakening, computational historiography can show its trend and future in the major of "grand history", learning of "overall history" and discourse of "Chinese history".